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	<title>Neil Lyon Santa Fe Real Estate&#187; News</title>
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	<description>Sothebys International Real Estate</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 14 May 2012 16:14:36 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>5 DIY Projects to Increase Sales Value by More Than $10,000</title>
		<link>http://neillyon.com/news/5-diy-projects-to-increase-sales-value-by-more-than-10000</link>
		<comments>http://neillyon.com/news/5-diy-projects-to-increase-sales-value-by-more-than-10000#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 May 2012 16:11:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil Lyon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[It doesn’t have to cost a fortune to improve a home and make it more sellable, according to HomeGain’s 2012 National Home Improvement Survey. HomeGain surveyed nearly 500 real estate professionals nationwide to determine the top do-it-yourself home improvement projects that offers some of the biggest bang for your buck when selling a home. “In [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It doesn’t have to cost a fortune to improve a home and make it more sellable, according to HomeGain’s 2012 National Home Improvement Survey.<span id="more-1972"></span></p>
<p>HomeGain surveyed nearly 500 real estate professionals nationwide to determine the top do-it-yourself home improvement projects that offers some of the biggest bang for your buck when selling a home.</p>
<p>“In a buyer’s market, sellers need to dress their homes for success before putting them on the market,” says Louis Cammarosano, HomeGain’s general manager. The survey shows “that do-it-yourself home improvements like cleaning and de-cluttering and lightening and brightening your home are cost-effective ways of increasing your chances of selling faster and closing closer to the asking price than homes rushed to the market with no improvements.”</p>
<p>Here are the top five projects that real estate professional recommend to their clients–projects that have the potential to offer some of the highest returns on investment at resale, according to the 2012 HomeGain survey:</p>
<p>1. Clean and declutter</p>
<p>What to do: “Removing personal items; wash and clean all areas of inside and outside of house; freshen air; remove clutter from furniture, counters, and all areas of the home; organize closets; polish woodwork and mirrors.”</p>
<p>Estimated cost: $402</p>
<p>Potential ROI: 403% or $2,024 to the home’s sale price</p>
<p>2. Lighten and brighten</p>
<p>What to do: “Open windows; clean windows and skylights inside and outside; replace old curtains or removing curtains; remove other obstacles from windows blocking light; repair lighting fixtures; make sure window open easily.”</p>
<p>Estimated cost: $424</p>
<p>Potential ROI: 299% or $1,690</p>
<p>3. Repair electrical and plumbing</p>
<p>What to do: “Update leaky or old faucet spouts and handles; repair leaks under bathroom or kitchen sinks; laundry room pipes; toilets should be in good working condition; remove mildew stains.</p>
<p>“Update electrical with new wiring for modern appliances and/or Internet and other audio/visual equipment requested in homes today; door bell should work; service sprinkler systems; fix lights and outlets that do not turn on; replace old plug points with new safety fixtures.”</p>
<p>Estimated cost: $808</p>
<p>Potential ROI: 293% or $3,175</p>
<p>4. Landscaping</p>
<p>What to do: “Front and back yards; add bark mulch; rake and remove leaves, branches and debris; plant bushes and flowers; add planters and hanging plants; mow grass; water lawn and plants; remove weeds and dead plants; manicure existing plants; any yardwork that improves the curb appeal of a home.”</p>
<p>Estimated cost: $564</p>
<p>ROI: 215% or $1,777</p>
<p>5. Staging</p>
<p>What to do: “Add fresh flowers; removing personal items; reduce clutter; rearrange furniture; add new props or furniture to enhance room/s; play soft music; hang artwork in walls.”</p>
<p>Estimated cost: $724</p>
<p>ROI: 196% or $2,145</p>
<p>However, the survey finds that the home improvement projects that offer the highest potential price increase to a home’s resale value continues to be updating the kitchen and bathroom. Home sellers could potentially see a $3,255 price increase to their home at resale by tackling kitchen and bathroom projects, according to the HomeGain survey. But those projects aren’t usually cheap to do. Check out our post earlier this year about the 2011-2012 Cost vs. Value report to see what home remodeling projects offer the biggest potential returns at resale.</p>
<p>By Melissa Dittmann Tracey, REALTOR® Magazine</p>
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		<title>6 Most Popular Projects Home Owners Target With Remodeling</title>
		<link>http://neillyon.com/news/6-most-popular-projects-home-owners-target-with-remodeling</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 14 May 2012 16:09:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil Lyon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Kitchens and bathrooms remain the top jobs home owners are taking on in remodeling projects, according to a new survey by the National Association of Home Builders. The top remodeling projects of home owners, according to the latest survey of remodelers, are: 1. Bathrooms 2. Kitchens 3. Window/door replacements 4. Whole house remodels 5. Room [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Kitchens and bathrooms remain the top jobs home owners are taking on in remodeling projects, according to a new survey by the National Association of Home Builders.<span id="more-1969"></span></p>
<p>The top remodeling projects of home owners, according to the latest survey of remodelers, are:</p>
<p>1. Bathrooms</p>
<p>2. Kitchens</p>
<p>3. Window/door replacements</p>
<p>4. Whole house remodels</p>
<p>5. Room additions</p>
<p>6. Handyman services</p>
<p>The report’s finding of the main motivation behind home owners’ decision to remodel is not too surprising: To repair and replace old components and to upgrade amenities.</p>
<p>But more than 20 percent of remodelers surveyed said they’ve been noticing a drop in the number of customers who are remodeling to try to increase their home’s value.</p>
<p>The survey is yet another indication that more home owners are happy staying put–at least for now–and instead are looking at how to enhance what they already have.</p>
<p>Nearly half of the remodelers surveyed said they’ve been seeing an increase over the last year in the number of home owners who are undertaking remodeling projects so they can avoid moving.</p>
<p>“Home owners are repurposing spaces and making more efficient use of their home’s square footage,” says NAHB Remodelers Chairman George “Geep” Moore Jr. “Whether it be young families or couples aging in their homes, people want to let their house adapt with their needs as they change over time.”</p>
<p>According to Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies, home remodeling is expected to post its best year this year since 2006.</p>
<p>But while home owners want to enhance, they also want to save.</p>
<p>“Before it was curb appeal, showiness and keeping up with the Joneses,” Duo Dickinson, author of Staying Put: Remodel Your House to Get the Home You Want (Taunton Press), told USA Today in a recent article on remodeling trends. But now more home owners want their homes to reflect who they are. “The house is the most direct mirror of your personal values. When people renovate to change their lives, they waste money.”</p>
<p>These more “me-centered” remodeling projects may include livening up outdoor spaces, creating “livable kitchens” that are multi-purpose and make the kitchen serve as a room for more than just cooking, and smaller master baths (like removing that luxurious spa tub for a larger shower)</p>
<p>Also in saving a buck, more home owners are looking at doing more of the work themselves. According to a new report from Bank of America, 70 percent of home owners are taking on home improvement projects that they once hired out in order to cut costs, tackling everything from plumbing to painting.</p>
<p>By Melissa Dittmann Tracey, REALTOR® Magazine</p>
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		<title>March Pending Home Sales Rise, Market Recovering</title>
		<link>http://neillyon.com/news/march-pending-home-sales-rise-market-recovering</link>
		<comments>http://neillyon.com/news/march-pending-home-sales-rise-market-recovering#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 May 2012 16:02:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil Lyon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neillyon.com/?p=1967</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Pending home sales increased in March and are well above a year ago, another signal the housing market is recovering, according to the National Association of Realtors®. The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, rose 4.1 percent to 101.4 in March from an upwardly revised 97.4 in February and is [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Pending home sales increased in March and are well above a year ago, another signal the housing market is recovering, according to the National Association of Realtors®.<span id="more-1967"></span></p>
<p>The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, rose 4.1 percent to 101.4 in March from an upwardly revised 97.4 in February and is 12.8 percent above March 2011 when it was 89.9.  The data reflects contracts but not closings.</p>
<p>The index is now at the highest level since April 2010 when it reached 111.3.</p>
<p>Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said 2012 is expected to be a year of recovery for housing.  “First quarter sales closings were the highest first quarter sales in five years.  The latest contract signing activity suggests the second quarter will be equally good,” he said.</p>
<p> “The housing market has clearly turned the corner.  Rising sales are bringing down inventory and creating much more balanced conditions around the county, which means home prices will be rising in more areas as the year progresses,” Yun said.</p>
<p>The PHSI in the Northeast slipped 0.8 percent to 78.2 in March but is 21.1 percent above March 2011.  In the Midwest the index declined 0.9 percent to 93.3 but is 16.9 percent higher than a year ago.  Pending home sales in the South rose 5.9 percent to an index of 114.1 in March and are 10.6 percent above March 2011.  In the West the index increased 8.7 percent in March to 108.0 and is 9.0 percent above a year ago.</p>
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		<title>Pending home sales increased in March</title>
		<link>http://neillyon.com/news/pending-home-sales-increased-in-march-and-are-well-above-a-year-ago-another-signal-the-housing-market-is-recovering</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 08 May 2012 21:33:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil Lyon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neillyon.com/?p=1958</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, rose 4.1 percent to 101.4 in March from an upwardly revised 97.4 in February and is 12.8 percent above March 2011 when it was 89.9. The data reflects contracts but not closings. The index is now at the highest level since April 2010 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, rose 4.1 percent to 101.4 in March from an upwardly revised 97.4 in February and is 12.8 percent above March 2011 when it was 89.9.  The data reflects contracts but not closings.</p>
<p>The index is now at the highest level since April 2010 when it reached 111.3.</p>
<p>Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said 2012 is expected to be a year of recovery for housing.  “First quarter sales closings were the highest first quarter sales in five years.  The latest contract signing activity suggests the second quarter will be equally good,” he said.</p>
<p> “The housing market has clearly turned the corner.  Rising sales are bringing down inventory and creating much more balanced conditions around the county, which means home prices will be rising in more areas as the year progresses,” Yun said.</p>
<p>The PHSI in the Northeast slipped 0.8 percent to 78.2 in March but is 21.1 percent above March 2011.  In the Midwest the index declined 0.9 percent to 93.3 but is 16.9 percent higher than a year ago.  Pending home sales in the South rose 5.9 percent to an index of 114.1 in March and are 10.6 percent above March 2011.  In the West the index increased 8.7 percent in March to 108.0 and is 9.0 percent above a year ago.</p>
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		<title>Tight Lending Standards Hindering Commercial Real Estate Recovery</title>
		<link>http://neillyon.com/news/tight-lending-standards-hindering-commercial-real-estate-recovery</link>
		<comments>http://neillyon.com/news/tight-lending-standards-hindering-commercial-real-estate-recovery#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 May 2012 21:32:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil Lyon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neillyon.com/?p=1956</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Although commercial real estate markets showed signs of recovery in 2011, commercial lending standards have tightened in the past year for small businesses and scuttled a major portion of contracted transactions for smaller properties, according to the National Association of Realtors® annual Commercial Real Estate 2012 Lending Survey. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said there [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Although commercial real estate markets showed signs of recovery in 2011, commercial lending standards have tightened in the past year for small businesses and scuttled a major portion of contracted transactions for smaller properties, according to the National Association of Realtors® annual Commercial Real Estate 2012 Lending Survey.<span id="more-1956"></span></p>
<p>Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said there is a significant split in commercial lending depending on value. &#8220;This is very much a tale of two markets. There have been notable improvements in capital for large commercial transactions valued at $2.5 million or higher, but there remain significant challenges for small business,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;Our Realtor® members typically are involved in helping commercial clients with purchases under $2 million, where a lack of capital has caused two out of three respondents to report deals have fallen through. Given that most jobs are created through small business, the lack of capital is hurting small businesses and the overall economic recovery.&#8221;</p>
<p>According to Real Capital Analytics, more than 13,000 major properties valued at $2.5 million or higher traded hands in 2011. Sales volume increased 51 percent over 2010 to $205.8 billion, with the lion&#8217;s share of lending funds coming from big banks. Other funding sources include insurance companies and institutional investors.</p>
<p>By contrast, the NAR survey shows that small business transactions rely heavily on smaller regional and local banks, and small private investors, for lending capital.</p>
<p>Respondents indicate nearly 30 percent of smaller commercial properties are purchased with cash, reflecting the tight credit environment, and some are seller financed. &#8220;When credit is tight, cash is king,&#8221; Yun added.</p>
<p>The most common types of property transactions referenced in the survey were multifamily, land, warehouse, suburban office and retail strip centers. Other property types include industrial flex space, central business district office, freestanding retail, and restaurants.</p>
<p>Realtors® report the system is clogged with property that must be sold or refinanced, which is significantly impacting the recovery. Long-time investors who never had a problem getting a loan in the past are now being declined.</p>
<p>More than half of respondents say lending is just as stringent as a year ago, while 23 percent say it is more stringent; 20 percent say it is less stringent but not near historical averages. Members also complained about banks being over-regulated, and refinancing being denied due to stringent internal lender underwriting requirements or low appraisal valuations.</p>
<p>Thirty-six percent of Realtors® said clients used the Small Business Administration commercial refinance program, but of those who didn&#8217;t, 45 percent said it was due to burdensome application and reporting requirements.</p>
<p>The Commercial Real Estate 2012 Lending Survey is published by the NAR Research Division for the commercial community. In April 2012, a random sample of 32,459 Realtors® with an interest in commercial real estate was invited to complete an online survey. A total of 474 responses were received, for an overall response rate of 1.46 percent.</p>
<p>NAR&#8217;s Commercial Division, formed in 1990, provides targeted products and services to meet the needs of the commercial market and constituency within NAR. The NAR commercial components include commercial members; commercial committees, subcommittees and forums; commercial real estate boards and structures; and the NAR commercial affiliate organizations &#8211; CCIM Institute, Institute of Real Estate Management, Realtors® Land Institute,</p>
<p>Society of Industrial and Office Realtors®, and Counselors of Real Estate.</p>
<p>Approximately 78,000 NAR and institute affiliate members specialize in commercial brokerage and related services, and an additional 232,000 members offer commercial real estate services as a secondary business.</p>
<p>The National Association of Realtors®, &#8220;The Voice for Real Estate,&#8221; is America&#8217;s largest trade association, representing 1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.</p>
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		<title>Existing-Home Sales Decline in March but Inventory Down, Prices Stabilizing</title>
		<link>http://neillyon.com/news/existing-home-sales-decline-in-march-but-inventory-down-prices-stabilizing</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 08 May 2012 21:30:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil Lyon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neillyon.com/?p=1954</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Existing-home sales were down in March but continue to outpace year-ago levels, while inventory tightened and home prices are showing further signs of stabilizing, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Total existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, declined 2.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Existing-home sales were down in March but continue to outpace year-ago levels, while inventory tightened and home prices are showing further signs of stabilizing, according to the National Association of Realtors®.</p>
<p>Total existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, declined 2.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.48 million in March from an upwardly revised 4.60 million in February, but are 5.2 percent above the 4.26 million-unit pace in March 2011.</p>
<p>Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said the recovery is in the process of settling into a higher level of home sales.  “The recovery is happening though not at a breakout pace, but we have seen nine consecutive months of year-over-year sales increases,” he said.  “Existing-home sales are moving up and down in a fairly narrow range that is well above the level of activity during the first half of last year.  With job growth, low interest rates, bargain home prices and an improving economy, the pent-up demand is coming to market and we expect housing to be notably better this year.”</p>
<p>Total housing inventory at the end of March declined 1.3 percent to 2.37 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 6.3-month supply2 at the current sales pace, the same as in February.  Listed inventory is 21.8 percent below a year ago and well below the record of 4.04 million in July 2007.</p>
<p>“We were expecting a seasonal increase in home listings, but a lack of inventory has suddenly become an issue in several markets with not enough homes for sale in relation to buyer interest,” Yun said.  “Home sales could be held back because of supply factors and not by demand – we’re already seeing this in the Western states and in South Florida.”</p>
<p>The national median existing-home price3 for all housing types was $163,800 in March, up 2.5 percent from March 2011.  Distressed homes4 – foreclosures and short sales sold at deep discounts – accounted for 29 percent of March sales (18 percent were foreclosures and 11 percent were short sales), compared with 34 percent in February and 40 percent in March 2011.</p>
<p>Foreclosures typically sold for an average 19 percent below market price in March, while short sales were discounted 16 percent.</p>
<p>NAR President Moe Veissi, broker-owner of Veissi &#038; Associates Inc., in Miami, said buyer traffic is up.  “Our members are reporting an increase in foot traffic from a year ago, but more importantly, home shoppers this year are much more serious about finding the right home and making an offer,” he said.  “Stabilizing home prices and historically favorable affordability conditions are giving buyers more confidence, and Realtors® have become more optimistic since the beginning of the year from the positive shift in buyer patterns.”</p>
<p>According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage was 3.95 percent in March, up from a record low 3.89 percent in February; the rate was 4.84 percent in March 2011; recordkeeping began in 1971.</p>
<p>All-cash sales slipped to 32 percent of transactions in March from 33 percent in February; they were 35 percent in March 2011.  Investors account for the bulk of cash transactions.</p>
<p>Investors purchased 21 percent of homes in March, down from 23 percent in February and 22 percent in March 2011.  First-time buyers accounted for 33 percent of transactions in March; they were 32 percent in February and 33 percent in March 2011.</p>
<p>Single-family home sales declined 2.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.97 million in March from 4.07 million in February, but are 5.9 percent above the 3.75 million-unit pace a year ago.  The median existing single-family home price was $163,600 in March, up 1.9 percent from March 2011.</p>
<p>Existing condominium and co-op sales fell 3.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 510,000 in March from 530,000 in February, and are unchanged from March 2011.  The median existing condo price was $165,200 in March, which is 7.1 percent above a year ago.</p>
<p>Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast declined 1.7 percent to an annual level of 580,000 in March but are 5.5 percent higher than a year ago.  The median price in the Northeast was $228,300, down 1.9 percent from March 2011.</p>
<p>Existing-home sales in the Midwest were unchanged in March at a pace of 1.02 million but are 15.9 percent above March 2011.  The median price in the Midwest was $132,800, up 5.2 percent from a year ago.</p>
<p>In the South, existing-home sales slipped 1.1 percent to an annual level of 1.75 million in March but are 3.6 percent higher than a year ago.  The median price in the South was $146,500, up 6.2 percent from March 2011.</p>
<p>Existing-home sales in the West fell 7.4 percent to an annual pace of 1.13 million in March and are 0.9 percent below March 2011.  The median price in the West was $198,300, up 1.6 percent from a year ago.</p>
<p>The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.</p>
<p># # #</p>
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		<title>Commercial Real Estate Vacancy Rates Improving, Rents Firming</title>
		<link>http://neillyon.com/news/commercial-real-estate-vacancy-rates-improving-rents-firming</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2012 20:21:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil Lyon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neillyon.com/?p=1941</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[According to the National Association of Realtors® quarterly commercial real estate forecast, all of the major commercial real estate sectors are seeing improved fundamentals, but multifamily housing is becoming a landlord’s market commanding bigger rent increases. These trends also are confirmed in NAR’s recent quarterly Commercial Real Estate Market Survey. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>According to the National Association of Realtors® quarterly commercial real estate forecast, all of the major commercial real estate sectors are seeing improved fundamentals, but multifamily housing is becoming a landlord’s market commanding bigger rent increases. These trends also are confirmed in NAR’s recent quarterly Commercial Real Estate Market Survey.<span id="more-1941"></span></p>
<p>Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said vacancy rates are improving in all of the major commercial real estate sectors. “Sustained job creation is benefiting commercial real estate sectors by increasing demand for space,” he said. “Vacancy rates are steadily falling. Leasing is on the rise and rents are showing signs of strengthening, especially in the apartment market where rents are rising the fastest.”</p>
<p>NAR forecasts commercial vacancy rates over the next year to decline 0.4 percentage point in the office sector, 0.8 point in industrial real estate, 0.9 point in the retail sector and 0.2 percentage point in the multifamily rental market.</p>
<p>“Household formation appears to be rising from pent-up demand,” Yun said. “The tight apartment market should encourage more apartment construction. Otherwise, rent increases could further accelerate in the near-to-intermediate term.”</p>
<p>The Society of Industrial and Office Realtors® shows a notable gain in its SIOR Commercial Real Estate Index, an attitudinal survey of 297 local market experts.1</p>
<p>The SIOR index, measuring the impact of 10 variables, jumped 8.3 percentage points to 63.8 in the fourth quarter, following a gain of 0.6 percentage point in the third quarter. The index remains well below the level of 100 that represents a balanced marketplace, which was last seen in the third quarter of 2007.</p>
<p>Most market indicators posted advances in the fourth quarter, but 71 percent of respondents said leasing activity is below historic levels in their market – an improvement from 83 percent in the third quarter. Only 29 percent report there is ample sublease space available.</p>
<p>Office and industrial space remains a tenant’s market – 87 percent of participants feel that tenants are getting a range of benefits ranging from moderate concessions to deep rent discounts.</p>
<p>Construction activity is still low, with 95 percent of experts reporting it is below normal, and 83 percent said it is a buyers’ market for development acquisitions; prices are below construction costs in 78 percent of markets.</p>
<p>Participants are broadly expecting stronger conditions for the current quarter, with two out of three expecting market improvement.</p>
<p>NAR’s latest Commercial Real Estate Outlook2 offers projections for four major commercial sectors and analyzes quarterly data in the office, industrial, retail and multifamily markets. Historic data for metro areas were provided by REIS, Inc.,3 a source of commercial real estate performance information.</p>
<p>Office Markets</p>
<p>Vacancy rates in the office sector are projected to fall from 16.4 percent in the current quarter to 16.0 percent in the first quarter of 2013.</p>
<p>The markets with the lowest office vacancy rates presently are Washington, D.C., with a vacancy rate of 9.5 percent; New York City, at 10.0 percent; and New Orleans, 12.4 percent.</p>
<p>After rising 1.6 percent in 2011, office rents should increase another 1.9 percent this year and 2.4 percent in 2013. Net absorption of office space in the U.S., which includes the leasing of new space coming on the market as well as space in existing properties, is forecast at 20.1 million square feet in 2012 and 28.1 million next year.</p>
<p>Industrial Markets</p>
<p>Industrial vacancy rates are likely to decline from 11.7 percent in the first quarter of this year to 10.9 percent in the first quarter of 2013.</p>
<p>The areas with the lowest industrial vacancy rates currently are Orange County, Calif., with a vacancy rate of 4.8 percent; Los Angeles, 4.9 percent; and Miami at 7.6 percent.</p>
<p>Annual industrial rent is expected to rise 1.8 percent in 2012 and 2.3 percent next year. Net absorption of industrial space nationally is seen at 40.6 million square feet this year and 57.7 million in 2013.</p>
<p>Retail Markets</p>
<p>Retail vacancy rates are forecast to decline from 11.9 percent in the current quarter to 11.0 percent in the first quarter of 2013.</p>
<p>Presently, markets with the lowest retail vacancy rates include San Francisco, 3.6 percent; Fairfield County, Conn., at 5.1 percent; and Long Island, N.Y., at 5.4 percent.</p>
<p>Average retail rent should rise 0.7 percent this year and 1.2 percent in 2013. Net absorption of retail space is projected at 9.9 million square feet this year and 23.9 million in 2013.</p>
<p>Multifamily Markets</p>
<p>The apartment rental market – multifamily housing – is likely to see vacancy rates drop from 4.7 percent in the first quarter to 4.5 percent in the first quarter of 2013; multifamily vacancy rates below 5 percent generally are considered a landlord’s market with demand justifying higher rents.</p>
<p>Areas with the lowest multifamily vacancy rates currently are New York City, 1.8 percent; Minneapolis and Portland, Ore., each at 2.5 percent; and San Jose, Calif., at 2.7 percent.</p>
<p>After rising 2.2 percent last year, average apartment rent is expected to increase 3.8 percent in 2012 and another 4.0 percent next year. Multifamily net absorption is forecast at 209,900 units this year and 223,600 in 2013.</p>
<p>The Commercial Real Estate Outlook is published by the NAR Research Division for the commercial community. NAR’s Commercial Division, formed in 1990, provides targeted products and services to meet the needs of the commercial market and constituency within NAR.</p>
<p>The NAR commercial components include commercial members; commercial committees, subcommittees and forums; commercial real estate boards and structures; and the NAR commercial affiliate organizations – CCIM Institute, Institute of Real Estate Management, Realtors® Land Institute, Society of Industrial and Office Realtors®, and Counselors of Real Estate.</p>
<p>Approximately 78,000 NAR and institute affiliate members specialize in commercial brokerage and related services, and an additional 232,000 members offer commercial real estate services as a secondary business.</p>
<p>The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.</p>
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		<title>Housing Affordability Index Hits Record High</title>
		<link>http://neillyon.com/news/housing-affordability-index-hits-record-high</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2012 20:20:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil Lyon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neillyon.com/?p=1939</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Housing affordability conditions have reached the highest level since recordkeeping began in 1970, according to the National Association of Realtors®. NAR’s Housing Affordability Index rose to a record high 206.1 in January, based on the relationship between median home price, median family income and average mortgage interest rate. The higher the index, the greater the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Housing affordability conditions have reached the highest level since recordkeeping began in 1970, according to the National Association of Realtors®.<span id="more-1939"></span></p>
<p>NAR’s Housing Affordability Index rose to a record high 206.1 in January, based on the relationship between median home price, median family income and average mortgage interest rate. The higher the index, the greater the household purchasing power.</p>
<p>An index of 100 is defined as the point where a median-income household has exactly enough income to qualify for the purchase of a median-priced existing single-family home, assuming a 20 percent downpayment and 25 percent of gross income devoted to mortgage principal and interest payments. For first-time buyers making small downpayments, the affordability levels are relatively lower.</p>
<p>NAR President Moe Veissi, broker-owner of Veissi &#038; Associates Inc., in Miami, said this latest data underscores buyer opportunities in today’s market. “This is the first time the housing affordability index has broken the two hundred mark, meaning the typical family has roughly double the income needed to purchase a median-priced home,” he said. “For buyers who can qualify for a mortgage, now is a very good time to become a homeowner.”</p>
<p>NAR projects the affordability index for all of 2012 will be at an annual high, with little movement in mortgage interest rates or home prices during the year. “Housing inventory levels have declined to a point where conditions are becoming much more balanced in much of the country,” Veissi said. “If access to credit improves, we could see a much more meaningful increase in home sales and broader stabilization in home prices with modest gains in areas with stronger job growth.”</p>
<p>The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.</p>
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		<title>February Existing-Home Sales Slip But Up Strongly From a Year Ago</title>
		<link>http://neillyon.com/news/february-existing-home-sales-slip-but-up-strongly-from-a-year-ago</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2012 20:19:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil Lyon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neillyon.com/?p=1937</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[February existing-home sales declined from an upwardly revised January pace but are well above a year ago, while the median price posted a slight gain, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Sales were up in the Midwest and South, offset by declines in the Northeast and West. Total existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>February existing-home sales declined from an upwardly revised January pace but are well above a year ago, while the median price posted a slight gain, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Sales were up in the Midwest and South, offset by declines in the Northeast and West.<span id="more-1937"></span></p>
<p>Total existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, slipped 0.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.59 million in February from an upwardly revised 4.63 million in January, but are 8.8 percent higher than the 4.22 million-unit level in February 2011.</p>
<p>Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said underlying factors are much better compared to one year ago. “The market is trending up unevenly, with record high consumer buying power and sustained job gains giving buyers the confidence they need to get into the market,” he said. “Although relatively unusual, there will be rising demand for both rental space and homeownership this year. The great suppression in household formation during the past four years was unsustainable, and a pent-up demand could burst forth from the improving economy.”</p>
<p>According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage was a record low 3.89 percent in February, down from 3.92 percent in January; the rate was 4.95 percent in February 2011; recordkeeping began in 1971.</p>
<p>NAR President Moe Veissi, broker-owner of Veissi &#038; Associates Inc., in Miami, said market conditions are improving. “Supply and demand have become more balanced in more markets, but with tight supply in the lower price ranges – particularly in the West,” he said. “When markets are balanced, we normally see prices rise one to two percentage points above the rate of inflation, but foreclosures and short sales are holding back median prices.”</p>
<p>The national median existing-home price2 for all housing types was $156,600 in February, up 0.3 percent from February 2011. Distressed homes3 – foreclosures and short sales sold at deep discounts – accounted for 34 percent of February sales (20 percent were foreclosures and 14 percent were short sales), down from 35 percent in January and 39 percent in February 2011.</p>
<p>“The bottom line is investors and first-time buyers are competing for bargain-priced properties in much of the country, with home prices showing signs of stabilizing in many areas,” Veissi said. “People realize that homeownership is an investment in their future. Given an apparent over-correction in most areas, over the long term home prices have nowhere to go but up.”</p>
<p>Total housing inventory at the end of February rose 4.3 percent to 2.43 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 6.4-month supply4 at the current sales pace, up from a 6.0-month supply in January. Even so, unsold listed inventory has trended down from a record 4.04 million in July 2007, and is 19.3 percent below a year ago.</p>
<p>“Falling visible and shadow inventory, combined with a dearth of new-home and apartment construction during the past three years, assure that rents will continue to rise, with likely home price increases in 2012,” Yun said.</p>
<p>Fifty-one percent of NAR members report that contracts settled on time in February, 18 percent had delays and 31 percent experienced contract failures; the cancellation rate was 33 percent in January and 9 percent in February 2011. Contract failures are commonly caused by declined mortgage applications and failures in loan underwriting from appraisals coming in below the negotiated price.</p>
<p>“Many buyers are staying in the market after experiencing a contract failure and making an offer on another property, showing their determination to take advantage of the favorable conditions, but the cancellations are contributing to an uneven sales pattern,” Yun said.</p>
<p>All-cash sales rose to 33 percent of transactions in February from 31 percent in January; they were 33 percent in February 2011. Investors account for the bulk of cash transactions.</p>
<p>Investors purchased 23 percent of homes in February, unchanged from January; they were 20 percent in February 2011. First-time buyers accounted for 32 percent of transactions in February, down from 33 percent in January and 34 percent in February 2011.</p>
<p>Single-family home sales declined 1.0 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.06 million in February from 4.10 million in January, but are 9.4 percent higher than the 3.71 million-unit level a year ago. The median existing single-family home price was $157,100 in February, which is 0.1 percent above February 2011.</p>
<p>Existing condominium and co-op sales were unchanged at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 530,000 in February and are 3.9 percent above the 510,000-unit pace in February 2011. The median existing condo price was $153,000 in February, up 1.6 percent from a year ago.</p>
<p>Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast fell 3.3 percent to an annual level of 580,000 in February but are 5.5 percent above a year ago. The median price in the Northeast was $225,800, down 1.9 percent from February 2011.</p>
<p>Existing-home sales in the Midwest rose 1.0 percent in February to a pace of 1.02 million and are 13.3 percent higher than February 2011. The median price in the Midwest was $120,500, which is 0.5 percent below a year ago.</p>
<p>In the South, existing-home sales increased 0.6 percent to an annual level of 1.77 million in February and are 9.3 percent higher than a year ago. The median price in the South was $138,100, up 1.8 percent from February 2011.</p>
<p>Existing-home sales in the West declined 3.2 percent to an annual pace of 1.22 million in February but are 6.1 percent above February 2011. The median price in the West was $195,300, up 3.1 percent from a year ago.</p>
<p>The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.</p>
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		<title>Next Foreclosure Wave Coming: Reason for Alarm?</title>
		<link>http://neillyon.com/news/next-foreclosure-wave-coming-reason-for-alarm</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Apr 2012 18:24:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil Lyon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neillyon.com/?p=1921</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Economists have been warning that a flood of foreclosures will soon be hitting the real estate market, likely this summer. Increases in foreclosures traditionally pull down nearby home prices. So should home owners be worried? As of now, housing reports continue to show month-over-month drops in foreclosures. CoreLogic released a report late last week that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Economists have been warning that a flood of foreclosures will soon be hitting the real estate market, likely this summer. Increases in foreclosures traditionally pull down nearby home prices. So should home owners be worried? <span id="more-1921"></span></p>
<p>As of now, housing reports continue to show month-over-month drops in foreclosures. CoreLogic released a report late last week that showed completed foreclosures fell from 71,000 in January to 65,000 in February. </p>
<p>But as more banks look to clear a backlog of defaulting home loans from their books, economists say the public should expect a turn with foreclosures and the numbers are expected to soar in the coming months. Mark Fleming, CoreLogic’s chief economist, expects the wave to hit this summer. </p>
<p>However, Fleming doesn’t view the increase as a bad thing for the overall housing market. &#8220;I would like to see the pace increase, because that means we&#8217;ll be able to work off the inventory faster,&#8221; Fleming told AOL Real Estate. He says that recent improvements in the real estate market and economy may mitigate any traditional downward pressure seen on overall home prices by foreclosures.  </p>
<p>In fact, despite an increase, Fleming still expects home prices to rise in some markets.</p>
<p>RealtyTrac has predicted that completed foreclosures will jump 25 percent this year, reaching 1 million.</p>
<p>&#8220;All of this will result in more foreclosure pain in the short term as some of the foreclosures that should have happened last year instead happen this year,&#8221; Daren Blomquist, vice president of RealtyTrac, said in a public statement in February. </p>
<p>Source: “Home Prices May Withstand Foreclosure Wave,” AOL Real Estate (March 30, 2012)</p>
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